Annualized auto sales continue to hold above 12 million units   

Annualized seasonally adjusted U.S. sales of domestic and foreign autos and light trucks totaled 12.578 million in January; the fourth month in a row over 12 million, and only the sixth month over 12 million since April 2007 (one of which was Cash for Clunkers induced). Sales rose 17% from January of 2010. Using our more stable 3-month moving average, sales are up 14% from the prior year. Sales had been fairly stable between March and September of 2010, but in Q4 sales accelerated, and continue to inch up. Auto sales remain about 25% below the average annual sales of 16.7 million from January of 2001 to December of 2007, before sales started to decline in 2008. The low point for sales were the first six months of 2009, when annualized sales averaged 9.621 million. It is clear from the data that the $3 billion Cash for Clunkers program did nothing but reward people for buying cars later or earlier than they had already planned. Our graph shows a 3-month moving average of seasonally adjusted annual rates to smooth out some of the month-to-month volatility.